Global Warming Prediction Project
Atmospheric CO2 concentration Prediction - Update
Jan 17, 2017
In June 2011 we published a long-term monthly ex ante forecast of atmospheric CO2 concentration. More than five years have passed now, and it is time to make a performance evaluation of this forecast compared to the actually observed data from Mauna Loa.
To make it short, with a very high forecast accuracy of 99% the model confirms that it is able to accurately and reliably predict atmospheric CO2 over a long forecast horizon.
Atmospheric CO2: The ex ante forecast ranges from June 2011-June 2030. The period for forecast evaluation is June 2011-December 2016 with an ex ante forecast accuracy of 99%. Atmospheric CO2 is continuously rising on a yearly basis. Will global temperature rise likewise?
