Global Warming Prediction Project
Global Warming Prediction Project
Sunspot number prediction
01.07.2010
There is no clear and final understanding if and to which extent sun activity is connected to global warming. To be able to use sun activity as one external, potential factor of influence for modeling and predicting the earth climate system a prediction of sun activity several years ahead is required, first. One common indicator used to express sun activity is the sunspot number.
The presented results below show prediction of sunspot numbers of the coming sun activity cycle till the end of year 2020. The set of dynamic, non-linear prediction models and similar patterns where autonomously developed by self-organizing knowledge extraction from data technologies. The data used for modeling originates from NASA representing monthly observations of sunspot numbers back to the year 1749.
The prediction from NASA for the same period can be found here.
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High-resolution image (PDF 1.9 MB)
Predictions (Tab separated text file 5 KB)
The objective of this project is doing monthly modeling and prediction of global temperature anomalies through self-organizing knowledge extraction from public data. The project is impartial and has no hidden personal, financial, political or other interests. It is entirely independent, transparent, and open in results.